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Interdependent Security Games Under Behavioral Probability Weighting

机译:行为概率加权下的相互依存安全游戏

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We consider a class of interdependent security games where the security risk experienced by a player depends on her own investment in security as well as the investments of other players. In contrast to much of the existing work that considers risk neutral players in such games, we investigate the impacts of behavioral probability weighting by players while making security investment decisions. This weighting captures the transformation of objective probabilities into perceived probabilities, which influence the decisions of individuals in uncertain environments. We show that the Nash equilibria that arise after incorporating probability weightings have much richer structural properties and equilibrium risk profiles than in risk neutral environments. We provide comprehensive discussions of these effects on the properties of equilibria and the social optimum when the players have homogeneous weighting parameters, including comparative statics results. We further characterize the existence and uniqueness of pure Nash equilibria in Total Effort games with heterogeneous players.
机译:我们考虑一类相互依存的安全游戏,其中玩家所经历的安全风险取决于自己对安全投资以及其他玩家的投资。与在此类游戏中考虑风险中立玩家的大部分工作形成鲜明对比,我们调查了参与者在制定安全投资决策的同时对球员的影响。这次加权捕获客观概率的转换为感知的概率,这影响了不确定环境中个人的决定。我们表明,在概率加权结合后出现的纳什均衡具有多于风险中性环境的结构性大得多,均衡风险概况。当玩家具有均匀加权参数时,我们对这些影响的综合讨论这些影响与均衡的性质和社会最佳影响,包括比较估计结果。我们进一步表征了与异构球员的总努力游戏中纯NASH均衡的存在性和独特性。

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