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Prediction and Imputation in Irregularly Sampled Clinical Time Series Data using Hierarchical Linear Dynamical Models

机译:等级线性动力学模型中不规则采样的临床时间序列数据的预测和归纳

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Clinical time series, comprising of repeated clinical measurements provide valuable information of the trajectory of patients' condition. Linear dynamical systems (LDS) are used extensively in science and engineering for modeling time series data. The observation and state variables in LDS are assumed to be uniformly sampled in time with a fixed sampling rate. The observation sequence for clinical time series is often irregularly sampled and LDS do not model such data well. In this paper, we develop two LDS-based models for irregularly sampled data. The key idea is to incorporate a temporal difference variable within the state equations of LDS whose parameters are estimated using observed data. Our models are evaluated on prediction and imputation tasks using real irregularly sampled clinical time series data and are found to outperform state-of-the-art techniques.
机译:临床时间序列,包括重复的临床测量,提供了患者病情的轨迹的有价值信息。线性动力系统(LDS)广泛用于建模时间序列数据的科学和工程中。假设LDS中的观察和状态变量以固定采样率均匀地采样。临床时间序列的观察顺序通常是不规则的采样,并且LDS不会良好地模拟此类数据。在本文中,我们开发了两个基于LDS的模型,用于不规则采样数据。关键思想是在使用观察到的数据估计的LDS的状态方程内的时间差变量。我们的模型在使用真正的不规则采样的临床时间序列数据上评估了预测和估算任务,并被发现以优于最先进的技术。

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