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TRAVEL BEHAVIOR AND E-MOBILITY IN GERMANY: Is the problem the driving range or the costs or both?

机译:德国的旅行行为和电子出行:问题是行驶距离或费用还是两者兼而有之?

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A reluctance towards switching to electric cars can be observed in various countries despite the effortsof national programs to promote electric vehicles. This paper investigates, if electric cars are capableof meeting the requirements of daily mobility in Germany. The analysis is based on data from theMobility Panel Survey Germany from 1995 to 2010 and the travel survey of the Stuttgart area from2009/10, combining a long-term travel behavior analysis with a regional specific verification. Thefocus is on individuals, who exclusively drive a car and walk during a day, relying on the car as aprimary means of transport. For this group the determinants of the decision using an internalcombustion engine vehicle (ICEV) versus a battery electric car (BEV) are analyzed focusing ondriving range and energy costs. The analysis suggests that around 80% of all daily travel by car driverscould be done with currently available models of electric cars where only charging during the nightwould be sufficient in the majority of cases. This suggests that the driving range of BEVs cannotactually be the restricting factor. On the other hand, the current cost structure of BEVs with high costsof investment and low costs of energy is not favorable for a large share of drivers, since their lowannual mileage does not compensate the high investment costs through low operation costs. In theStuttgart region, drivers from the suburbs would benefit most from such savings due to lower energycosts while those living in the city would need other cost structures or incentives for switching toBEVs.
机译:尽管付出了很多努力,但在许多国家还是可以看到人们不愿意改用电动汽车 推广电动汽车的国家计划。本文研究电动汽车是否有能力 满足德国日常出行的要求。分析是基于来自 1995年至2010年德国行动小组调查,以及2001年以来斯图加特地区的旅行调查 2009/10,将长期旅行行为分析与区域特定验证相结合。这 重点是个人,他们在一天之内专门驾驶汽车并走路,并依赖汽车作为交通工具。 主要交通工具。对于这个群体,决定因素使用内部 着重分析了内燃机汽车(ICEV)与电池电动汽车(BEV) 续驶里程和能源成本。分析表明,开车的人每天的出行约占80% 可以使用当前可用的电动汽车模型完成,其中仅在夜间充电 在大多数情况下就足够了。这表明电动汽车的续驶里程不能 实际上是限制因素。另一方面,目前高成本的BEV的成本结构 的投资和低廉的能源成本不利于大部分驾驶者,因为他们的驾驶成本低 年行驶里程无法通过较低的运营成本补偿高昂的投资成本。在里面 斯图加特(Stuttgart)地区,由于能源消耗较低,郊区的驾驶员将从此类节省中受益最多 成本,而居住在城市中的人们可能需要其他成本结构或激励措施才能转向 电动汽车。

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