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Recommendations for Data-Driven Degradation Estimation with Case Studies from Manufacturing and Dry-Bulk Shipping

机译:数据驱动退化估算的建议与制造和干散货运输的案例研究

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Predictive planning of maintenance windows reduces the risk of unwanted production or operational downtimes and helps to keep machines, vessels, or any system in optimal condition. The quality of such a data-driven model for the prediction of remaining useful lifetime is largely determined by the data used to train it. Training data with qualitative information, such as labeled data, is extremely rare, so classical similarity models cannot be applied. Instead, degradation models extrapolate future conditions from historical behaviour by regression. Research offers numerous methods for predicting the remaining useful lifetime by degradation regression. However, the implementation of existing approaches poses significant challenges to users due to a lack of comparability and best practices. This paper provides a general approach for composing existing process steps such as health stage classification, frequency analysis, feature extraction, or regression models for the estimation of degradation. To challenge effectiveness and relations between the steps, we run several experiments in two comprehensive case studies, one from manufacturing and one from dry-bulk shipping. We conclude with recommendations for composing a data-driven degradation estimation process.
机译:维护窗口的预测规划降低了不需要的生产或运营停机时间的风险,并有助于保持机器,船舶或任何系统在最佳状态下。这种数据驱动模型的质量用于预测剩余使用寿命的预测主要由用于训练它的数据决定。具有定性信息的培训数据,如标记数据,非常罕见,因此无法应用经典的相似性模型。相反,退化模型通过回归从历史行为推断了未来的条件。研究提供了许多方法,用于通过降解回归预测剩余的有用寿命。然而,由于缺乏可比性和最佳实践,现有方法的实施对用户构成了重大挑战。本文提供了一种综合方法,用于构成现有的过程步骤,如健康阶段分类,频率分析,特征提取或回归模型,用于估计劣化。为了挑战步骤之间的有效性和关系,我们在两个综合案例研究中运行了几个实验,其中一个来自制造业的实验,以及来自干燥散货的案例研究。我们结束了建议,用于构成数据驱动的降级估算过程。

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