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A Mixed-Logit Latent-Class Model of Strategic Route Choice Behavior with Real-time Information

机译:实时信息的混合Logit潜在策略路径选择行为模型

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We study drivers’ route choice behavior in a driving simulator with real-timetraffic information. A strategic route choice refers to a look-ahead decision taking intoaccount future diversion possibilities at downstream nodes based on real-timeinformation not yet available at the time of decision-making. A mixed Logit model withtwo latent classes, strategic and non-strategic route choice, is specified and estimated.The estimates of the latent class probabilities show that a significant portion of routechoice decisions are strategic and subjects can learn to make more strategic route choiceas they have more experience with the decision scenarios. Non-parametric tests also showthat a parallel driving task does not affect strategic thinking ability, which might becaused by the simplicity of the test network. The findings suggest that a realistic routechoice model with real-time information should consider both strategic and non-strategicbehavior, which potentially vary with the driver’s experience.
机译:我们在驾驶模拟器中实时研究驾驶员的路线选择行为 交通信息。战略路线的选择是指考虑到前瞻性决策 基于实时考虑下游节点未来转移的可能性 决策时尚不可用的信息。具有以下特征的混合Logit模型 确定和估计了两个潜在类别,即战略和非战略路线选择。 潜在类别概率的估计表明,路线的很大一部分 选择决策是战略性的,受试者可以学习做出更具战略性的路线选择 因为他们对决策场景有更多的经验。非参数测试也显示 并行驾驶任务不会影响战略思维能力,这可能是 由测试网络的简单性引起的。研究结果表明,一条现实的路线 实时信息的选择模型应同时考虑战略性和非战略性 行为,可能会因驾驶员的经验而异。

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