The use of fuzzy decision trees for coffee rust warning in Brazilian crops

摘要

This paper proposes the use of fuzzy decision trees for coffee rust warning, the most economically important coffee disease in the world. The models were induced using field data collected during 8 years. Using different subsets of attributes from the original data, three distinct datasets were constructed. The class attribute, representing the monthly infection rate, was used to construct six datasets according to two distinct infection rates. Induced models can be used to trigger alerts when estimated monthly disease infection rates reach one of the two thresholds. The first threshold allows applying preventive actions, whereas the second one requires a curative action. The fuzzy decision tree models were compared to the ones induced by a classic decision tree algorithm, taking into account the accuracy and the syntactic complexity of the models, as well as its quality according to an expert opinion. The fuzzy models showed better accuracy power and interpretability.