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REAL-TIME EXPECTED VALUE VERSUS EXPECTED UTILITY IN-CLASS GROUP EXERCISE FOR DECISION TREES

机译:决策树的实时期望值与期望效用的同班组练习

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An in-class exercise that involves the famous TV game of Deal or No Deal?? is used to illustratedecision trees and the concept of expected monetary value and expected utility value. It is shownthat contestants should set their expectations on a certain amount of money to win rather than useexpected values of earnings. It is then explained how the game is turned into a classroomexercise for groups, with five suitcases holding bonus homework points rather than money. AnExcel template with macros is shown to make it easy for the professor to play the game withstudent groups.
机译:涉及著名电视游戏“不交易或不交易”的课堂练习??用于说明 决策树以及预期货币价值和预期效用价值的概念。如图所示 参赛者应该将期望值设定为一定的金额以赢得而不是使用 预期收益值。然后说明游戏如何变成教室 团体锻炼,五个手提箱持有额外的功课积分,而不是金钱。一个 显示带有宏的Excel模板,使教授可以轻松地玩游戏 学生团体。

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