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A SENSITIVITY STUDY OF THE EFFECTIVENESS OF ACTIVE DEBRIS REMOVAL IN LEO

机译:狮子座活动性碎片清除效果的敏感性研究

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The near-Earth orbital debris population will continue to increase in the future due to ongoing space activities, on-orbit explosions, and accidental collisions among resident space objects. Commonly adopted mitigation measures, such as limiting postmission orbital lifetimes of satellites to less than 25 years, will slow down the population growth, but will be insufficient to stabilize the environment. Therefore, to better limit the growth of future debris population to protect the environment, the remediation option, i.e., removing existing large and massive objects from orbit, needs to be considered. This paper does not intend to address the technical or economical issues for active debris removal. Rather, the objective is to provide a sensitivity study to illustrate and quantify the effectiveness of various remediation options. A removal criterion based upon mass and collision probability is developed to rank objects at the beginning of each projection year. This study includes simulations with removal rates ranging from 5 to 20 objects per year, starting in the year 2020. The outcome of each simulation is analyzed and compared with others. The summary of the study serves as a general guideline for future debris removal consideration.
机译:由于正在进行的空间活动,在轨爆炸以及居民空间物体之间的偶然碰撞,未来近地轨道碎片的数量将继续增加。普遍采用的缓解措施,例如将卫星的后发射轨道寿命限制在25年以下,将减慢人口增长速度,但不足以稳定环境。因此,为了更好地限制未来碎片的增长以保护环境,需要考虑采取补救措施,即从轨道上移走现有的大型物体。本文无意解决主动清除碎片的技术或经济问题。相反,其目的是提供一项敏感性研究,以说明和量化各种补救措施的有效性。建立了基于质量和碰撞概率的去除标准,以在每个投影年的开始对对象进行排名。这项研究包括从2020年开始每年去除率从5到20个对象不等的模拟。每个模拟的结果都会进行分析,并与其他模型进行比较。研究的总结可作为将来清除杂物的一般指南。

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