Research on the Effect of the Grain Financial Direct Subsidies Based on Grey Incidence Analysis

摘要

This paper examined the closeness of the incidence between the grain output and the four grain financial direct subsidies as well as between farmers' income and the four subsidies through the grey incidence analysis method. The empirical results showed that the grain direct subsidies, the subsidies for growing superior grain cultivators and the general subsidies for agricultural production supplies among the four subsidies had strong incidence with the total grain output and the per capita agricultural income, while the subsidies for purchasing agricultural machinery and tools had weak incidence. We also analyzed possible reasons for the weak incidence of the subsidies for purchasing agricultural machinery and tools and provided suggestions to increase its incidence.