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Reasoning about Expectation

机译:关于期望的推理

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摘要

Expectation is a central notion in probability theory. The notion of expectation also makes sense for other notions of uncertainty. We introduce a propositional logic for reasoning about expectation, where the semantics depends on the underlying representation of uncertainty. We give sound and complete axiomatizations for the logic in the case that the underlying representation is (a) probability, (b) sets of probability measures, (c) belief functions, and (d) possibility measures. We show that this logic is more expressive than the corresponding logic for reasoning about likelihood in the case of sets of probability measures, but equi-expressive in the case of probability, belief, and possibility. Finally, we show that satisfiability for these logics is NP-complete, no harder than satisfiability for propositional logic.
机译:期望是概率论中的核心概念。期望的概念对于其他不确定性概念也是有意义的。我们引入了关于期望的推理的命题逻辑,其中语义取决于不确定性的基本表示形式。在基本表示为(a)概率,(b)几套概率测度,(c)信念函数和(d)可能性测度的情况下,我们给出了合理而完整的逻辑公理化方法。我们证明,在几套概率测度的情况下,此逻辑比相应的逻辑更具表达力,而在概率,信念和可能性的情况下,这种逻辑是等义的。最后,我们证明了这些逻辑的可满足性是NP完全的,并不比命题逻辑的可满足性难。

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