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Toward Bayesian Classifiers with Accurate Probabilities

机译:迈向具有准确概率的贝叶斯分类器

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In most data mining applications, accurate ranking and probability estimation are essential. However, many traditional classifiers aim at a high classification accuracy (or low error rate) only, even though they also produce probability estimates. Does high predictive accuracy imply a better ranking and probability estimation? Is there any better evaluation method for those classifiers than the classification accuracy, for the purpose of data mining applications? The answer is the area under the ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristics) curve, or simply AUC. We show that AUC provides a more discriminating evaluation for the ranking and probability estimation than the accuracy does. Further, we show that classifiers constructed to maximise the AUC score produce not only higher AUC values, but also higher classification accuracies. Our results are based on experimental comparison between error-based and AUC-based learning algorithms for TAN (Tree-Augmented Naive Bayes).
机译:在大多数数据挖掘应用程序中,准确的排名和概率估计至关重要。但是,即使许多传统分类器也产生概率估计值,但它们仅旨在达到较高的分类精度(或较低的错误率)。高预测精度是否意味着更好的排名和概率估计?为了进行数据挖掘应用,对于这些分类器,是否有比分类精度更好的评估方法?答案是ROC(接收机工作特性)曲线下的面积,或者简称为AUC。我们显示,与准确度相比,AUC为排名和概率估计提供了更具区分性的评估。此外,我们表明,构造为使AUC得分最大化的分类器不仅会产生更高的AUC值,而且会产生更高的分类精度。我们的结果基于TAN(树增强朴素贝叶斯)的基于错误和基于AUC的学习算法之间的实验比较。

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