The Application of System Dynamics and CLUE-S Model in Land Use Change Dynamic Simulation: a Case Study in Taips County, Inner Mongolia of China

摘要

Modeling land use scenario changes and its potential impacts on the structure and function of the ecosystem and economy in the typical regions are helpful to understanding the interactive mechanism between land use system and ecological system or and economic factors. The CLUE-S model integrated with System Dynamics (SD) model is developed with three land use scenario changes in Taips County of China from 2001 to 2020 simulated in this paper. System Dynamics model can predict the complex system change under the different "what-if" scenarios, which makes it a good tool and be widely used in different fields of natural science,social science and engineering technology. The simulated results indicate that obvious land use changes will take place in the unused area and farming-pastoral zone of Taips County from 2001 to 2020 with unused land and urban land being the most active land use types.