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Expecting the unexpected: representing, reasoning about, and assessing construction project contingencies

机译:期待意外:代表,推理和评估建设项目的意外情况

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Planning, scheduling and effective management of contingencies are crucial for the successful management of construction projects. In this paper we explore a mathematical representation of construction processes that can be used to infer alternative futures of a project as it un folds. The representation has its foundations in temporal constraint networks. We present algorithms that can traverse the network in time, reason about the constraints driving a construction project, and present the combinatorial possibilities of futures that can emerge from one or more constraint violations during project implementation. The algorithms will aid construction managers to anticipate and react to crisis scenarios as they evolve in time. Our broader goal is to use the contingency information and the user responses to reveal the cognitive strategies used by humans to manage complex crisis scenarios.
机译:应急计划,计划和有效管理对于建设项目的成功管理至关重要。在本文中,我们探索了建筑过程的数学表示形式,可用于推断项目展开时的替代未来。该表示在时间约束网络中有其基础。我们提出了可以及时穿越网络的算法,驱动建设项目的约束的原因,并提出了在项目实施过程中可能因一个或多个约束违规而出现的期货的组合可能性。该算法将帮助建筑经理预测危机情况并随着时间的推移做出反应。我们更广泛的目标是使用意外事件信息和用户响应来揭示人类用于管理复杂危机场景的认知策略。

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