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An artificial neural network-genetic based approach for time series forecasting

机译:基于人工神经网络-遗传算法的时间序列预测方法

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Genetic algorithms (GAs) are a class of general optimization procedures randomized optimization heuristics based loosely on the biological paradigm of natural evolution. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are well established optimization procedures in the domains of pattern recognition and function approximation, whose properties and training methods have been well studied. Recently there has been some successful applications of ANNs in sequential decision making under uncertainty (or stochastic control), where one's goal is the cost-to-go or cost function, which evaluates and guides management or control decisions in an organization. In this work we report on the integration of GAs and ANNs in terms of a new paradigm, the genetic algorithm based neural networks, taking the advantages of both approaches for time series forecasting of sunspots, airlines and production yields.
机译:遗传算法(GA)是一类一般的优化程序,是基于自然进化的生物学范式而随机进行的随机化启发式算法。人工神经网络(ANN)是在模式识别和函数逼近领域中完善的优化程序,其性能和训练方法已经得到了很好的研究。最近,在不确定性(或随机控制)下,ANN在顺序决策中已经有一些成功的应用,其中目标是成本成本或成本函数,它评估和指导组织中的管理或控制决策。在这项工作中,我们利用新方法,基于遗传算法的神经网络报告了遗传算法和人工神经网络的集成,并利用了这两种方法对黑子,航空公司和产量的时间序列进行预测。

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