A Simplified Method for the Thermal Analysis of Solar Plants with Interseasonal Storage

摘要

The effects of climatic variability on the efficiency of solar plants with interseasonal storage are evaluated by means of a generation procedure of insolation sequences, using a library of Markov matrices and the normal distribution parameters of the monthly clearness index, and a calculation method of the yearly energy that the accumulator is capable of supplying, which uses the responses of the collecting field accumulator system to monthly variations of incident energy. The procedure set up allows the estimate of the accumulated probability curve of the solar fraction supplied by the plant.