CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTIONS OVER EAST ASIA USING ECHO-G WITH IPCCC SRES SCENARIOS

摘要

By combination of global climate projection and dynamic downscaling, we may provide reasonable future regional climate information for impact assessment. The final output of temperature is quite adequate for regional assessment studies since there are distinguished variation modes influenced by land and ocean. Precipitation, however, needs to be improved. There are some disagreements in dominant modes of real world and model world. This may be caused not only from the fact that precipitation is local phenomena and less systematic than temperature but also the model has still treated the precipitation processes inadequately. This might be one of important tasks of future studies to overcome to provide reasonable regional climate change information.