Testing the Expectations Hypothesis for Interest Rate Term Structure: Some Australian Evidence

摘要

Many test results are found inconsistent with the expectations hypothesis of the term structure. The aim of this paper is to re-examine the expectations hypothesis of the term structure using the Australian interest rate data from 1969(7) to 1995(7). We start with the cointegration test on R_t, r_t, and S_t followed by the Granger causality test from S_t to ▽r_t. Finally we carry out the VAR model of cross-equation restrictions test. Our findings show that there is no conclusive rejection of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure.