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May Economic Bubbles be Good Sometimes?: A Theoretical Investigation of How Bubbles Affect Privatization in Developing Countries

机译:经济泡沫有时会好吗?:关于泡沫如何影响发展中国家私有化的理论研究

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In this paper, we develop a model dealing with how economic bubbles arise and how they may affect privatization process in non- or little-privatized countries. After running the developed model and analyzing the results, we suggest two main propositions: First, the mechanisms inhering in the investment structures may form a structural barrier to the process of privatization in its very initial stages. Second and more interesting, while harmful to the economy from other aspects, the economic bubbles can help activate the process of privatization. The findings are supported mainly by theoretical justifications rather than empirical evidences. This work, we believe, is not necessarily a conclusive and ultimate one out of which ultimate privatization policies should be drawn. It is, rather, a directive setup based on which a modeling process can be founded so as to obtain the best policies.
机译:在本文中,我们开发了一个模型来处理经济泡沫如何产生以及它们如何影响非私有化或小私有化国家的私有化进程。在运行开发的模型并分析结果之后,我们提出两个主要命题:首先,投资结构中固有的机制可能在私有化的初始阶段就形成了结构性障碍。其次,更有趣的是,经济泡沫虽然从其他方面对经济有害,但可以帮助激活私有化进程。研究结果主要由理论依据而非经验证据支持。我们认为,这项工作不一定是结论性的,也是最终的,应该从中得出最终的私有化政策。相反,它是一种指令设置,基于该指令设置可以建立建模过程以获得最佳策略。

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