Hindcast of Winds, Waves and Currents in Northern Gulf of Mexico in Hurricane Lili (2002)

摘要

The time varying fields of surface winds, sea state andrncurrents associated with Hurricane Lili (2002) in the NorthernrnGulf of Mexico are specified through the implementation andrnapplication of advanced numerical wind, wave and oceanrnhindcast models, all adapted to the entire Gulf of Mexico atrnhigher resolution than used in previous simulations of tropicalrncyclones in this basin. An extensive validation of the wind andrnwave hindcast indicates that the storm response is specifiedrnwith 10% or better accuracy. No current measurements werernavailable in Lili to validate the current model results butrnvalidation of the same modeling technology against thernextensive currents measurements in Hurricane Andrew (1992)rnsuggests that the spatial and vertical structure of the primaryrncurrent speed response to Lili are reasonably well simulated.