Estimating the Effects of Module Area on Thin-Film Photovoltaic System Costs

摘要

We investigate the potential effects of module area on the cost and performance of photovoltaic systems. Applying a bottom-up methodology, we analyzed the costs associated with thin-film modules and systems as a function of module area. We calculate a potential for savings of up to $0.10/W and $0.13/W in module manufacturing costs for CdTe and CIGS respectively, with large area modules. We also find that an additional $0.04/W savings in balance-of-systems costs may be achieved. Sensitivity of the $/W cost savings to module efficiency, manufacturing yield, and other parameters is presented. Lifetime energy yield must also be maintained to realize reductions in the levelized cost of energy; the effects of module size on energy yield for monolithic thin-film modules are not yet well understood. Finally, we discuss possible non-cost barriers to adoption of large area modules.