Scenario Technique with Integer Programming for Sustainability in Manufacturing

摘要

Scenario technique is a tool to reveal the knowledge of an expert group about possible and consistent scenarios of the future. The current use of this technique suffers from an inflexibility of the available software. To overcome this shortage, the core part of this solver, i.e. the scenario generation phase, has to be re-implemented. It is demonstrated that this problem can be formulated as an integer linear programming problem. To find all feasible solutions the solver SCIP was adapted. The solutions are then clustered and these clusters are verbally described. The approach is demonstrated by using data from the research project, remanufacturing oriented production equipment development, in which scenarios for sustainable value creation were identified and described.