Opportunistic Branched Plans to Maximise Utility in the Presence of Resource Uncertainty

摘要

In many applications, especially autonomous exploration, there is a trade-off between operational safety, forcing conservatism about resource usage; and maximising utility, requiring high resource utilisation. In this paper we consider a method of generating plans that maintain this conservatism whilst allowing exploitation of situations where resource usage is better than pessimistically estimated. We consider planning problems with soft goals, each with a violation cost. The challenge is to maximise utility (minimise the violation cost paid) whilst maintaining confidence that the plan will execute within the specified limits. We first show how forward search planning can be extended to generate such plans. Then we extend this to build branched plans: tree structures labelled with conditions on executing branches. Lower cost branches can be followed if their conditions are met. We demonstrate that the use of such plans can dramatically increase utility whilst still obeying strict safety constraints.