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A new fuzzy approach for defining multi-purpose criticality of activities in PERT

机译:定义PERT中活动的多用途临界的新模糊方法

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In this paper a new fuzzy approach is developed for defining the general criticality of activities where some other features such as probability of finishing on time zone, probability of impact, impact threat and ability to retaliate are considered as criticality factors of activities in project management process. In this way the risky situation (vulnerability) of activities are calculated by using fuzzy inference system. Activities are prioritized and classified by means of a fuzzy decision making procedure. The effect of considering such factors on project duration and cost are compared with classic PERT -where only the slack times are considered as criticality factors of activities -by means of Mont Carlo simulation.
机译:本文提出了一种新的模糊方法来定义活动的总体重要性,其中将其他一些特征(如在时区完成的概率,影响的概率,影响的威胁和报复的能力)视为项目管理过程中活动的关键因素。 。这样,通过使用模糊推理系统来计算活动的风险状况(脆弱性)。通过模糊决策程序对活动进行优先排序和分类。通过蒙特卡罗模拟,将考虑此类因素对项目工期和成本的影响与经典PERT(仅将闲置时间视为活动的关键因素)进行比较。

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