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Method and apparatus/software to assist persons in complex cause-and-effect reasoning

机译:帮助人员进行复杂因果推理的方法和装置/软件

摘要

A method has been developed for generating, refining and determining the consequences of complex systems of multiple cause and effect relationships. The novel method is applicable to biological systems as well as man-made systems, as it is based on the collecting and using observed behaviors as well as previous understood mechanism or relationships. The method is particularly useful in multi-variable system with significant interactions among sub-components, especially when there is limited expertise or complete understanding of all the components and their respective relationships interactions. In these cases the method provides guidance for future experiments that develop further expertise. The method has particular power and benefit as it provides for a distinction and comparison of the merits of conducting further experiments based on defined criteria. For example alternative solutions or experiments can be suggested and distinguished on the basis of cost, delay or a negative or detrimental outcome, based on prior experience and knowledge of interactions, in contrast to those that provide additional insight or solve the problem with a lower risk of negative implications.
机译:已经开发了一种用于生成,改进和确定具有多种因果关系的复杂系统的结果的方法。该新方法适用于生物系统以及人造系统,因为它基于收集和使用观察到的行为以及先前理解的机制或关系。该方法在子组件之间具有重要交互作用的多变量系统中特别有用,尤其是在专业知识有限或对所有组件及其各自关系交互作用的了解不多的情况下。在这些情况下,该方法可为将来进一步发展专业知识的实验提供指导。该方法具有特殊的优势和优势,因为它可以区分和比较基于定义的标准进行进一步实验的优点。例如,与那些提供更多见解或以较低风险解决问题的解决方案或实验相比,可以根据成本,延迟或负面或有害的结果,根据交互作用的先前经验和知识,提出并区分其他解决方案或实验,负面影响。

著录项

  • 公开/公告号US2004243532A1

    专利类型

  • 公开/公告日2004-12-02

    原文格式PDF

  • 申请/专利权人 PROBLEMATICS LLC;

    申请/专利号US20020264437

  • 发明设计人 DONALD STEWARD;

    申请日2002-10-03

  • 分类号G06N7/08;G06N7/00;G06F17/00;G06N5/02;G06F17/10;G06F7/60;

  • 国家 US

  • 入库时间 2022-08-21 22:23:02

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