METHOD FOR THE PREDICTION OF ECOLOGICALLY INDUCED PATHOLOGY

摘要

The invention relates to medicine, in particular to the prediction of ecologically induced pathology and can be used for the assessment of incidence risk depending on water quality of water supply sources. According to the method determined are the population size of regions which are supplied from that water supply source, observation period, population size in the year under study, and number of seized with investigated nosology in the investigated region. Thereafter admissible concentration limit excess factors for chemical and biological pollutants are calculated, excess factors of pollutants affecting the investigated nosology incidence level are determined, predicted value Yof specific nosology is determined depending on excess factor for pollutants and expected incidence level index is calculated, according to which incidence risk is predicted.