SYSTEM AND METHOD FOR INITIAL PROFIT PREDICTION MODEL FOR OVERSEAS CONSTRUCTION PROJECT

摘要

The initial profitability prediction system for an overseas construction project according to embodiments of the present invention includes a project database storing risk evaluation information and rate of return information that specifies the influence of predetermined risk factors on project profitability for each of the projects executed in the past , A binomial risk assessment independent variable that reclassifies risk assessment information into one of positive or negative influential factors, and a variable extractor that extracts binomial profitability dependent variables that are reclassified as either malicious or non-malicious In the verification step, the pre-conditional probability parameters are specified according to the binomial risk assessment independent variables provided for learning from the variable extraction unit and the Naive Beam Classifier model based on the binomial profitability dependent variable. In the actual prediction step, The A naive bezier classifier model with pre-conditional probability parameters and a naive bezier classifier model processor that classifies binomial profitability dependent variables either as malicious or non-malicious, based on binomial risk assessment independent variables of externally entered new projects can do.