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CORRELATION FACTOR EXTRACTION METHOD, CORRELATION FACTOR EXTRACTION DEVICE, AND CORRELATION FACTOR EXTRACTION PROGRAM

机译:相关因子提取方法,相关因子提取装置以及相关因子提取程序

摘要

PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To raise the accuracy of extracting an other time-series that relates to some time-series.SOLUTION: A correlation factor extraction method of the present invention includes the steps of: classifying into a first group at least some of prediction models, among a plurality of prediction models generated from one first time-series data and a plurality of second time-series data, the estimated values of prediction error of which are smaller than the estimated values of prediction error of a reference prediction model generated from the first time-series data; classifying into a second group at least some of the remaining prediction models not classified into the first group; calculating the probability of the prediction error of the prediction models classified into the second group becoming smaller than the prediction error of the reference prediction model on the basis of a condition that classification into the first group is correct, using the prediction value of the prediction model classified into the second group; and determining whether or not the prediction model classified into the second group should be reclassified into the first group on the basis of whether or not the calculated probability is larger than a prescribed threshold.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 7
机译:解决的问题:提高提取与某个时间序列有关的其他时间序列的准确性。解决方案:本发明的相关因子提取方法包括以下步骤:将至少一些预测分类为第一组。在从一个第一时间序列数据和多个第二时间序列数据生成的多个预测模型中,预测误差的估计值小于从参考序列生成的参考预测模型的预测误差的估计值第一时间序列数据;将至少一些未分类为第一组的剩余预测模型分类为第二组;使用预测模型的预测值,基于对第一组的分类正确的条件,计算被分类为第二组的预测模型的预测误差小于参考预测模型的预测误差的概率。分为第二组;并根据计算出的概率是否大于规定的阈值,确定是否应将分类为第二组的预测模型重新分类为第一组。图7

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