Computerized Event Simulation Using Synthetic Populations

摘要

Systems, methods, and computer-readable media for simulating the course of an event are provided. A processing unit can receive attributes of a synthetic population and select a synthetic-population graph from a data library based at least in part on the attributes. The processing unit can receive data of an intervention designed to affect the course of the event. The processing unit can then simulate the course of the event in the synthetic-population graph to produce an estimate of the event, based at least in part on the intervention. The event can include an epidemic, and the intervention can include vaccination, facility closures, or medication, in some examples. In some examples, the data library can include a social-contact graph determined at least in part by a broker software module.