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Bias correction method of extreme precipitation data in global climate model using mixture distributions

机译:基于混合分布的全球气候模式极端降水数据的偏差校正方法

摘要

The present invention relates to a method of correcting errors in extreme precipitation data of a global climate model using a mixed distribution type. The error correction method of the extreme precipitation data of the global climate model using the mixed distribution type according to the present invention comprises the steps of: setting a climate scenario of the global climate model (GCM) or regional climate model (RCM) (QM) to adjust the probability distribution of the variables of the regional climate model (RCM) to the probability distribution of the observed data, to correct deviations of the global climate model (GCM) or regional climate model (RCM) ; Testing models of multiple mixed distribution functions for evaluation of climate change impacts based on a probability distribution of variables of the adjusted regional climate model (RCM); Estimating parameters of the mixed distribution function models using a meta-heuristic maximum likelihood (MHML) technique; Among the plurality of mixed distribution function models tested, the result data obtained by a model of the best mixed distribution function having the best ability to produce a distribution pattern closest to the distribution pattern of the observation data without producing an ideal value and the estimated parameters Performing shift correction based on the correction; And correcting the error of the extreme precipitation data of the climate model by reflecting the result of the correction to the extreme precipitation data of the climate model.
机译:本发明涉及一种使用混合分布类型来校正全球气候模型的极端降水数据中的误差的方法。根据本发明的使用混合分布类型的全球气候模型的极端降水数据的误差校正方法包括以下步骤:设置全球气候模型(GCM)或区域气候模型(RCM)(QM)的气候情景)将区域气候模型(RCM)变量的概率分布调整为观测数据的概率分布,以校正全球气候模型(GCM)或区域气候模型(RCM)的偏差;根据调整后的区域气候模型(RCM)变量的概率分布,测试用于评估气候变化影响的多种混合分布函数模型;使用元启发式最大似然(MHML)技术估计混合分布函数模型的参数;在所测试的多个混合分布函数模型中,由最佳混合分布函数模型获得的结果数据具有在不产生理想值和估计参数的情况下产生最接近观察数据分布模式的分布模式的最佳能力根据该校正进行位移校正;通过将校正结果反映到气候模型的极端降水数据中来校正气候模型的极端降水数据的误差。

著录项

  • 公开/公告号KR101856042B1

    专利类型

  • 公开/公告日2018-06-26

    原文格式PDF

  • 申请/专利权人 경상대학교산학협력단;

    申请/专利号KR20160064971

  • 发明设计人 이태삼;박태웅;신주영;

    申请日2016-05-26

  • 分类号G01W1/10;G01W1/14;G06F17/18;

  • 国家 KR

  • 入库时间 2022-08-21 12:37:51

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