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Essays on environmental and urban economics

机译:关于环境和城市经济学的论文

摘要

The thesis consists of three independent chapters on environmental and urban economics. A central theme explored in this thesis is what determines the distribution of economic activities across space. My exploration in this direction begins with the roles of industrial pollution and transportation infrastructure in shaping the spatial distribution of skills, and extends to evaluate the spatial allocation efficiency of renewable energy projects.udThe first chapter,“The Long Shadow of Industrial Pollution: Environmental Amenities and the Distribution of Skills”, investigates the role of industrial pollution in determining the competitiveness of post-industrial cities, with a focus on their ability to attract skilled workers and shift to a modern service economy. I assemble a rich database at a fine spatial resolution, which allows me to track pollution from the 1970s to the present and to examine its impacts on a whole range of outcomes related to productivity and amenity, including house prices, employment, wages, and crime. I find that census tracts downwind of highly polluted 1970s industrial sites are associated with lower housing prices and a smaller share of skilled employment three decades later, a pattern which became evermore prominent between 1980 and 2000. These findings indicate that pollution in the 1970s affected the ability of parts of cities to attract skills, which in turn drove the process of agglomeration based on modern services. To quantify the contribution of different mechanisms, I build and estimate a multi-sector spatial equilibrium framework that introduces heterogeneity in local productivity and workers’ valuation of local amenities across sectors and allows the initial sorting to be magnified by production and residential externalities. Structural estimation suggests that historical pollution is associated with lower current productivity and amenity; the magnitudes are higher for productivity, more skilled sectors and central tracts. I then use the framework to evaluate the impact of counterfactual pollution cuts in different parts of cities on nationwide welfare and cross-city skill distribution.udThe second chapter, “Travel Costs and Urban Specialization: Evidence from China’s High Speed Railway” examines how improvements in passenger transportation affect the spatial distribution of skills, exploiting the expansion of high speed railway (HSR) project in China. This natural experiment is unique because as a passenger-dedicated transportation device that aims at improving the speed and convenience of intercity travel, HSR mostly affects urban specialization through encouraging more frequent intercity trips and face-to-face interactions. I find that an HSR connection increases city-wide passenger flows by 10% and employment by 7%. To further deal with the issues of endogenous railway placement and simultaneous public investments accompanying HSR connections, I examine the impact of a city’s market access changes purely driven by the HSR connection of other cities. The estimates suggest that HSR-induced expansion in market access increases urban employment with an elasticity between 2 and 2.5. The differential impacts of HSR on employment across sectors suggest that industries benefiting more from enhanced market access are the ones intensive in nonroutine cognitive skills, such as finance, IT and business services. These findings highlight the role of improved passenger travel infrastructure in promoting the delivery of services, facilitating labour sourcing and knowledge exchange across cities, and ultimately shifting the specialization pattern of connected cities towards skilled and communication intensive sectors.udIn the last chapter, “Where does the Wind Blow? Green Preferences and Spatial Misallocation in the Renewable Energy Sector” , I focus on the spatial allocation efficiency of renewable energy projects. How efficiently are renewable energy projects distributed across the US? Are “greener” investors worse at picking sites? Using extensive information on wind resources, transmission, electricity prices and other restrictions that are relevant to the siting choices of wind farms, I calculate the predicted profitability of wind power projects for all possible locations across the contiguous US, use this distribution of this profitability as a counterfactual for profit-maximizing wind power investments and compare it to the actual placement of wind farms. The average predicted profit of wind projects would have risen by 47.1% had the 1770 current projects in the continental US been moved to the best 1770 sites. I also show that 80% and 42% respectively of this observed deviation can be accounted for by within-state and within-county distortions. I provide further evidence that a large proportion of the observed within-state spatial misallocation is related to green investors’ tendency of invest locally and sub-optimally. Wind farms in more environmentally-friendly counties are more likely to be financed by local and non-profit investors, are closer to cities, are much less responsive to local fundamentals and have worse performance ex-post. The implementation of state policies such as Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) and price-based subsidies are related to better within-state locational choices through attracting more for-profit investments to the “brown" counties, while lump-sum subsidies have the opposite or no effects. My findings have salient implications for environmental and energy policy. Policy makers should take account of the non-monetary incentives of renewable investors when determining the allocative efficiency of policies.
机译:本文由关于环境和城市经济学的三个独立章节组成。本论文探讨的中心主题是决定经济活动在空间中的分布的因素。我在这个方向上的探索始于工业污染和运输基础设施在塑造技能的空间分布中的作用,并扩展到评估可再生能源项目的空间分配效率。 ud第一章,“工业污染的长阴影:环境”便利设施和技能分配”,调查工业污染在确定后工业城市竞争力中的作用,重点是其吸引技术工人和向现代服务经济转变的能力。我以良好的空间分辨率组装了一个丰富的数据库,这使我可以追踪从1970年代到现在的污染,并研究其对与生产率和舒适性有关的一系列结果的影响,包括房价,就业,工资和犯罪。我发现,在1970年代污染严重的工业地区,人口普查处于顺风顺风,这与房价下跌和三十年后的熟练就业人数减少有关,这种模式在1980年至2000年间变得越来越突出。这些发现表明,1970年代的污染影响了城市部分地区吸引技能的能力,进而推动了基于现代服务业的集聚过程。为了量化不同机制的贡献,我建立并估计了一个多部门的空间均衡框架,该框架引入了本地生产力的异质性和工人对各个部门对本地便利设施的评估,并通过生产和居住外部性来扩大初始分类。结构估计表明,历史污染与较低的当前生产力和舒适性有关;生产率,技术部门和中央部门的水平更高。然后,我使用该框架评估城市不同地区的反事实性污染削减对全国福利和跨城市技能分布的影响。 ud第二章,“旅行成本和城市专业化:来自中国高速铁路的证据”探讨了如何改进客运方面的影响影响了技能的空间分布,并利用了中国高速铁路(HSR)项目的扩展。这种自然的实验是独特的,因为作为一种旨在提高城际旅行的速度和便利性的客运专用运输设备,高铁主要通过鼓励更频繁的城际旅行和面对面的互动来影响城市的专业化。我发现高铁连接使全市的客流增加了10%,就业人数增加了7%。为了进一步处理高铁连接带来的内生铁路布局和同时进行公共投资的问题,我研究了纯粹由其他城市的高铁连接驱动的一个城市的市场准入变化的影响。估计表明,高铁引起的市场准入扩张以2到2.5的弹性增加了城市就业。高铁对各部门就业的不同影响表明,受益于市场准入增加的行业是那些非常规认知技能密集的行业,例如金融,IT和商业服务。这些发现强调了改善旅客旅行基础设施在促进服务提供,促进城市间劳务外包和知识交流以及最终将互联城市的专业化模式转向技术密集和通信密集型行业方面的作用。 ud在最后一章中,“哪里吹吗?我着重研究可再生能源项目的空间分配效率。可再生能源项目在美国的分布效率如何?在选择地点时,“绿色”投资者会更糟吗?利用有关风能资源,输电,电价和与风电场选址选择相关的其他限制的广泛信息,我计算出了美国各地所有可能位置的风电项目的预计盈利能力,使用这种获利能力的分布作为反事实,以使风能投资获得最大利润,并将其与风电场的实际布置进行比较。如果将美国本土的1770个当前项目转移到最好的1770个站点,风电项目的平均预期利润将增长47.1%。我还表明,这种观察到的偏差的80%和42%可以由州内和县内失真引起。我提供了进一步的证据,表明观察到的州内空间错配很大一部分与绿色投资者的本地投资和次优投资趋势有关。更加环保的县中的风电场更有可能由当地和非营利性投资者提供资金,更靠近城市,对当地基本面的反应能力差得多,事后表现更差。可再生能源投资组合标准(RPS)和基于价格的补贴等州政策的实施,通过吸引更多的营利性投资到“棕色”县,与州内更好的地区选择相关,而一次性补贴则相反或相反。我的发现对环境和能源政策具有显着影响,决策者在确定政策分配效率时应考虑可再生投资者的非货币激励。

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    Lin Yatang;

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  • 年度 2017
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