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Adjustment of commercial banks' interest rates and the effectiveness of monetary policy : evidence from Anglophone West Africa

机译:调整商业银行的利率和货币政策的有效性:来自西非英语国家的证据

摘要

Most central banks use short-term interest rates as their main instrument of monetary policy. It is assumed that a change in policy rate will influence interest rates set by commercial banks, but this is not usually the case. Commercial banks adjust their interest rates in response to changes in policy rate with lags, which make their interest rates sticky. Stickiness in commercial banks interest rates have been seen as an obstacle to the smooth transmission of monetary policy decisions. Despite the importance of the transmission process, little attention has been given to a systematic measurement of the degree of response of commercial banks‟ interest rates to changes in monetary policy stance in the Anglophone West African countries, specifically within the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) economies. Against this backdrop, this study explores the interest rate adjustment dynamics using monthly interest rate series on discount rate, treasury bill rate, commercial banks‟ deposit and lending rates from 1989 to 2009 (for Gambia, Nigeria and Sierra Leone) and from 2000 to 2009 (for Ghana). Specifically, the study set out to examine how lending and deposit rates respond to changes in the official rates and to see whether there is a convergence among the rates over time. Also, to examine the relative adjustment of commercial bank lending rates to changes in the official rate when there is disequilibrium. The analyses were twofold: a full sample period and a rolling window analysis. Following Cottarelli and Kourelis (1994), the study employed cointegration technique and an asymmetric error correction model to obtain the short-run and long-run parameters from which the error correction coefficients, mean adjustment lags and asymmetric mean adjustment lags were estimated. The results for the entire sample period revealed that the long-run pass-through in Nigeria was 81% and 67% for lending rates and deposit rates respectively. In Ghana, it was 66% and 69% for lending and deposit rates respectively. While in Sierra Leone, long-run pass-through was 62% and 72% for lending and deposit rates respectively. In Gambia, it was 50% and 40% for lending and deposit rates respectively. On the other hand, the short-run pass-through was found to be lower compared to the long-run pass-through: in Nigeria it was 66% and 47%; in Gambia, 26% and 29%; in Sierra Leone, 30% and 13%; and in Ghana, -6% and 35% for lending and deposit rates respectively in each country. The pass-through estimates for the rolling windows were mixed for short-run and long-run pass-through. The mean adjustment lags suggest that the speed of adjustment of Lending rates for full sample period were two, two, seven and twelve months in Nigeria, Ghana, Sierra Leone and Gambia respectively. While for deposit rates they were five, six, seven and eighteen for Ghana, Nigeria, Gambia and Sierra Leone respectively. The average speeds of adjustment for the rolling windows were four and five months for lending and deposit rates respectively. Weak evidence of convergence was found in lending and deposit rates in the short-run and long-run pass-through among the countries. However, the results suggest that the magnitude and speed of the pass-through amongst the countries on average were high compared to emerging Asian countries. Significant asymmetric adjustments were found in the lending rates for Gambia and Sierra Leone, while in Gambia and Nigeria there were asymmetries in deposit rates. Based on the evidence provided, interest rate pass-through is high in Nigeria and Ghana compared to Gambia and Sierra Leone and this calls for the harmonization of financial policies on the part of the financial authorities in the WAMZ. Viewed solely from an interest rate pass-through, the lack of convergence among the countries suggests that WAMZ is far from ready for a monetary union. The relatively low pass-through in some of the countries suggests rigidity in the banking system which may be due to underdevelopment of the system. Thus efforts geared toward strengthening the banking system and the financial system as whole would further enhance the prospect of a monetary union among them.
机译:大多数中央银行将短期利率用作其货币政策的主要工具。假定政策利率的变化会影响商业银行设定的利率,但是通常情况并非如此。商业银行会根据政策利率的变化而调整利率,从而使利率保持不变。商业银行利率的粘性被视为阻碍货币政策决策顺利传递的障碍。尽管传输过程非常重要,但对英语国家西非国家(尤其是西非货币区(WAMZ))中商业银行利率对货币政策立场变化的反应程度的系统衡量却鲜有关注)经济。在此背景下,本研究使用从1989年至2009年(对于冈比亚,尼日利亚和塞拉利昂)以及2000年至2009年的贴现率,国库券利率,商业银行存款和贷款利率的月利率系列来探索利率调整动态。 (对于加纳)。具体来说,该研究着手研究借贷和存款利率如何应对官方利率的变化,并观察利率之间是否随时间趋于一致。另外,考察在不平衡时商业银行贷款利率相对于官方利率变化的相对调整。分析是双重的:整个采样周期和滚动窗口分析。根据Cottarelli和Kourelis(1994)的研究,使用协整技术和不对称误差校正模型来获得短期和长期参数,据此可以估计出误差校正系数,平均调整滞后和非对称平均调整滞后。整个样本期间的结果表明,尼日利亚的长期借贷利率分别为81%和67%。在加纳,借贷利率和存款利率分别为66%和69%。在塞拉利昂,贷款和存款利率的长期通过率分别为62%和72%。在冈比亚,贷款利率和存款利率分别为50%和40%。另一方面,发现短期通过率低于长期通过率:在尼日利亚为66%和47%;在冈比亚,分别为26%和29%;在塞拉利昂,分别为30%和13%;在加纳,每个国家的借贷利率和存款利率分别为-6%和35%。对于短期和长期通过,滚动窗口的通过估计值混合在一起。平均调整滞后表明,在尼日利亚,加纳,塞拉利昂和冈比亚,整个抽样期间贷款利率的调整速度分别为两个月,两个月,七个月和十二个月。加纳,尼日利亚,冈比亚和塞拉利昂的存款利率分别为五,六,七和十八。滚动窗口的平均调整速度分别为贷款利率和存款利率四个月和五个月。各国之间的短期和长期转嫁的借贷利率和存款利率均没有收敛的证据。但是,结果表明,与新兴亚洲国家相比,这些国家之间的平均传递速度和速度很高。冈比亚和塞拉利昂的贷款利率存在重大不对称调整,而冈比亚和尼日利亚的存款利率存在不对称性。根据提供的证据,与冈比亚和塞拉利昂相比,尼日利亚和加纳的利率转移率很高,这要求WAMZ的金融当局协调金融政策。仅从利率传递来看,各国之间缺乏融合,这表明WAMZ尚未为建立货币联盟做好准备。在某些国家中,相对较低的通过率表明银行体系的僵化可能是由于该体系的不发达所致。因此,旨在加强银行体系和整个金融体系的努力将进一步增强它们之间建立货币联盟的前景。

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    Bangura Lamin;

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  • 年度 2011
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 English
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