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Optimal asset allocation and annuitisation in a defined contribution pension scheme

机译:定额供款养老金计划中的最佳资产配置和年金化

摘要

In this thesis, we investigate a pensioner’s gains from access to annuities. We observe a pensioner aged 65, having constant income from social security, having certain amount of pension wealth at age 65. The pensioner optimally decides each year how much of his available assets to consume, to invest into tradable assets, and how much to convert to annuities. Annuities are irreversible investments, once bought they provide income in the later years, but it is not possible to trade annuities any more. The pensioner makes optimal decisions such that the expected discounted utility from future consumption and bequest (if the pensioner has a bequest motive) is maximised. We develop and solve two models for the member of a defined contribution pension scheme in the post–retirement period. The first one is a two assets model with stochastic inflation. We refer to this model as the inflation risk model. The pensioner in the inflation risk model has access to risk less (cash) and risky (equity) investment and to nominal and/or real annuities. The solution of this type of problem using numerical mathematics is presented in detail. We investigate different constraints on annuitisation. The main results presented and analysed are the pensioner’s gains from access to certain class/classes of annuities, and also the pensioner’s optimal asset allocation and annuitisation strategies such that the maximised expected discounted utility from future consumption and bequest is attained. The second model for the pensioner in a defined contribution pension scheme is a three assets model with a stochastic interest rate. We refer to this model as the interest rate risk model. The pensioner in the interest rate risk model has access to risk less (one year bond), low risk (rolling bond with constant duration) and risky (equity) assets, and to annuities. Again, we precisely define the problem mathematically and solve it using numerical mathematics. We present and thoroughly analyse the pensioner’s optimal asset allocation and optimal annuitisation such that his expected discounted utility from consumption and bequest is maximised. Particularly, we investigate in detail the dependence of the results on the value of the interest rate during the year before retirement. After investigating the inflation risk model and interest rate risk model separately, we investigate deeper the new results obtained by introducing a stochastic interest rate. We compare the results obtained in the inflation risk model where the value of the interest rate is constant and the results in the interest rate risk model where the value of the interest rate changes. Particularly, in the interest rate risk model, we investigate deeper the dependence of the results on the value of the interest rate during the year before retirement and on the value of the interest rate during each year before annuitisation and asset allocation during the retirement period.
机译:在本文中,我们调查了养老金领取者从获得年金中获得的收益。我们观察到65岁的养老金领取者具有固定的社会保障收入,并在65岁时拥有一定数量的养老金财富。该养老金领取者每年最佳地决定自己要消费多少资产,投资于可交易资产以及转换多少资产。年金。年金是不可逆的投资,一旦购买它们便在以后的几年中提供了收入,但是就不可能再交易年金了。养老金领取者做出最佳决策,以使来自未来消费和遗产的预期折扣效用最大化(如果养老金领取者具有遗产赠与动机)。我们为退休后的定额供款养老金计划的成员开发和求解两种模型。第一个是具有随机通胀率的两资产模型。我们将此模型称为通胀风险模型。通货膨胀风险模型中的养老金领取者可以获得较少的风险(现金)和风险的(权益)投资以及名义和/或实际年金。详细介绍了使用数字数学解决这类问题的方法。我们研究了对肛门环切术的不同限制。呈现和分析的主要结果是养老金领取者通过获得某些类别的年金获得的收益,以及养老金领取者的最佳资产分配和年金化策略,从而获得了来自未来消费和遗赠的最大预期折扣效用。定额养恤金计划中养老金领取者的第二种模型是利率为随机的三资产模型。我们将此模型称为利率风险模型。利率风险模型中的养老金领取者可以获得较少的风险(一年期债券),低风险(具有固定期限的滚动债券)和风险(权益)资产以及年金。同样,我们用数学方法精确地定义问题并使用数值数学解决。我们介绍并彻底分析了养老金领取者的最佳资产分配和最佳年金,以使他从消费和遗产中获得的预期折扣效用最大化。特别是,我们详细研究了退休前一年中结果对利率价值的依赖性。在分别研究了通货膨胀风险模型和利率风险模型之后,我们将更深入地研究通过引入随机利率获得的新结果。我们将在利率值恒定的通胀风险模型中获得的结果与在利率值变化的利率风险模型中获得的结果进行比较。特别是,在利率风险模型中,我们更深入地研究了结果对退休前一年的利率值以及退休前年金和资产分配前每年的利率值的依赖性。

著录项

  • 作者

    Gavranovic Nedim;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2011
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 English
  • 中图分类

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