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A Re-examination of the Link between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials

机译:重新审视实际汇率与实际利率差异之间的联系

摘要

The real exchange rate - real interest rate (RERI) relationship is central to most open economy macroeconomic models. However, empirical support for the relationship, especially when cointegrationbased methods are used, is rather weak. In this paper we reinvestigate the RERI relationship using bilateral real exchange rate data spanning the period 1978 to 1997. We first clarify the logic of applying cointegration methods to the RERI and propose an alternative way of testing the relationship. We demonstrate that the failure of earlier analyses to detect a stationary real interest rate is largely due to the low power of the tests employed.
机译:实际汇率与实际利率(RERI)的关系是大多数开放经济宏观经济模型的核心。但是,对于这种关系的经验支持很弱,尤其是在使用基于协整的方法时。在本文中,我们使用1978年至1997年期间的双边实际汇率数据对RERI关系进行了重新研究。我们首先阐明了将协整方法应用于RERI的逻辑,并提出了一种检验该关系的替代方法。我们证明了早期分析未能检测到固定的实际利率的主要原因是所采用的测试的功效低下。

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