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The liquidity of corporate and government bonds: drivers and sensitivity to different market conditions

机译:公司和政府债券的流动性:对不同市场状况的驱动力和敏感性

摘要

In this report we investigate the liquidity of the European fixed income market using a large sample of government, corporate and covered bonds. We construct a robust liquidity index, based on PCA, to aggregate several measures and proxies for liquidity and estimate a multivariate regression models to identify the main factors driving bond liquidity in ordinary times as well as in times of market stress.We find that European bond liquidity is driven by bonds’ specific characteristics such as duration, rating, amount issued and time to maturity. The sensitivity of bond liquidity to these factors is larger when markets are under stress. We also analyze the link between the liquidity of individual bonds and the liquidity of the market as a whole. This is done through the estimation a liquidity market model that controls for bonds’ duration and rating as well as for periods of market stress. Results show that the illiquidity of individual bonds follows the illiquidity of the market. This effect is more pronounced for bonds with longer duration and lower rating, especially in times of market stress.Our results confirm the importance of rating in driving asset allocation decision (flight-to-safety) and suggest specific interventions that regulators might consider to introduce. First, provided that duration plays a very important role in bond liquidity, bond eligibility for the purposes of the LCR might be subject to a penalization based on duration. Second, given that the size of the bond issue affects the liquidity, regulators might create incentives for plain vanilla issues and re-openings of old issues.
机译:在本报告中,我们使用大量的政府,公司和担保债券样本调查了欧洲固定收益市场的流动性。我们建立了一个基于PCA的稳健的流动性指数,以汇总流动性的几种衡量指标和代理,并估计一个多元回归模型,以确定在平时和市场压力时期驱动债券流动性的主要因素。流动性取决于债券的特定特征,例如期限,评级,发行数量和到期时间。当市场处于压力之下时,债券流动性对这些因素的敏感性更大。我们还将分析单个债券的流动性与整个市场的流动性之间的联系。这是通过估算流动性市场模型来完成的,该模型控制债券的期限和评级以及市场压力时期。结果表明,单个债券的流动性追随市场的流动性。对于期限更长,评级更低的债券而言,这种影响更为明显,尤其是在市场压力时期。我们的结果证实了评级在驱动资产配置决策(逃离安全)方面的重要性,并建议监管机构考虑采取具体干预措施。首先,如果期限在债券流动性中起着非常重要的作用,则出于LCR的目的,债券资格可能会受到基于期限的处罚。其次,鉴于债券发行的规模会影响流动性,监管机构可能会鼓励普通的普通股发行和旧债券的重新开放。

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