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Time-varying Managerial Overconfidence and Corporate Debt Maturity Structure

机译:时变管理者过度自信与公司债务期限结构

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摘要

We examine the impact of managerial overconfidence on corporate debt maturity. We build upon the argument that managerial overconfidence is likely to mitigate the underinvestment problem, which is often the major concern for long-term debt investors. Within this context, we hypothesise that managerial overconfidence increases debt maturity. Our empirical evidence, based on time-varying measures of overconfidence derived from computational linguistic analysis and directors’ dealings in their own companies’ shares, supports this hypothesis. Specifically, we find that the changes in both first person singular pronouns and optimistic tone are positively related to the change in debt maturity. Moreover, we find that the insider trading-based overconfidence of CEO, who is most likely to influence investment decision and thus the underinvestment problem, has a stronger impact on debt maturity than the overconfidence of other directors (e.g. CFO). Overall, our study provides initial evidence for a positive overconfidence-debt maturity relation via overconfidence mitigating the agency cost of long-term debt.
机译:我们研究了管理层过度自信对公司债务到期的影响。我们基于这样的论点,即管理层过度自信可能会减轻投资不足的问题,而这通常是长期债务投资者的主要担忧。在这种情况下,我们假设管理层过度自信会增加债务到期日。我们的经验证据基于计算语言分析和董事对自己公司股份的交易所产生的过度自信的时变测度,支持了这一假设。具体来说,我们发现第一人称单数代词和乐观语调的变化与债务期限的变化呈正相关。此外,我们发现首席执行官的内幕交易过度自信比其他董事(例如CFO)的过度自信对债务到期的影响更大,后者最有可能影响投资决策,进而影响投资不足问题。总体而言,我们的研究通过过度自信减轻长期债务的代理成本,提供了积极的过度自信与债务到期关系的初步证据。

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