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Suicide prevention through means restriction:impact of the 2008-2011 pesticide restrictions on suicide in Sri Lanka

机译:通过手段限制预防自杀:2008-2011年农药限制对斯里兰卡自杀的影响

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摘要

Objective: To investigate the effect of 3-year phased bans of the pesticides dimethoate and fenthion in 2008-2010, and paraquat in 2009-2011, on suicide mortality in Sri Lanka.Methods: Age standardised overall, sex specific, and method-specific suicide rates were calculated using Sri Lankan police data (1989-2015). Using negative binomial regression models, we estimated the change in the rate and number of suicide deaths in post-ban years (2011-15) compared to those expected based on pre-ban trends (2001-10).Findings: Overall suicide mortality dropped by 21% between 2011 and 2015, from 18.3 to 14 per 100,000. The decline in pesticide suicides during this same period was larger than for overall suicides: from 8.5 to 4.2 per 100,000, a 50% reducition. This was accompanied by a smaller concurrent rise in non-pesticide suicide mortality with a 2% increase (9.9 to 10.1 per 100,000). In 2015, the raio between the observed and expected pesticide suicide rates was 0.49 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.40, 0.62), corresponding to an estimated 937 (95% CI 574, 1389) fewer pesticide suicides than expected from pre-ban suicide rates. Findings were similar in sensitivity analyses using 2008 or 2012 as commencement of the post intervention period.Conclusion: Bans of paraquat, dimethoate and fenthion in Sri Lanka were associated with a reduction in pesticide suicide mortality and in overall suicide mortality despire a small rise in other methods. This study provides further evidence for the effectiveness of pesticide regulation in limiting the availability of highly hazardous pesticides and thereby reducing the number of global suicides.
机译:目的:调查2008-2010年乐果和倍硫磷三年禁令和2009-2011年百草枯禁令对斯里兰卡自杀死亡率的影响。方法:总体年龄标准化,性别特定和方法特定自杀率是根据斯里兰卡警方的数据(1989-2015年)计算得出的。使用负二项式回归模型,我们估计了禁令后年份(2011-15)的自杀死亡率和死亡人数与基于禁令前趋势(2001-10)预期的自杀人数相比的变化。在2011年至2015年期间增长了21%,从每10万人中的18.3增至14。在同一时期,农药自杀的下降幅度大于总体自杀的下降幅度:从100,000的8.5下降到4.2,减少了50%。同时,非农药自杀死亡率的同时上升幅度较小,上升了2%(每100,000例9.9至10.1)。 2015年,观测到的农药自杀率与预期农药自杀率之间的比率是0.49(95%置信区间[CI] 0.40,0.62),对应的农药自杀估计数比禁令前的预期少937(CI%574,1389)。自杀率。敏感性分析的结果与干预后阶段开始时的2008或2012年相似。结论:斯里兰卡的百草枯,乐果和倍硫磷的禁用与农药自杀死亡率的降低有关,而总体自杀死亡率使其他农药的死亡率略有上升方法。这项研究提供了进一步的证据,证明了农药管制在限制高危农药供应方面的有效性,从而减少了全球自杀人数。

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