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Short-term changes in ambient particulate matter and risk of stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis

机译:环境颗粒物和卒中风险的短期变化:系统评价和荟萃分析

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BACKGROUND: Stroke is a leading cause of death and long-term disability in the United States. There is a well-documented association between ambient particulate matter air pollution (PM) and cardiovascular disease morbidity and mortality. Given the pathophysiologic mechanisms of these effects, short-term elevations in PM may also increase the risk of ischemic and/or hemorrhagic stroke morbidity and mortality, but the evidence has not been systematically reviewed.METHODS AND RESULTS: We provide a comprehensive review of all observational human studies (January 1966 to January 2014) on the association between short-term changes in ambient PM levels and cerebrovascular events. We also performed meta-analyses to evaluate the evidence for an association between each PM size fraction (PM2.5, PM10, PM2.5-10) and each outcome (total cerebrovascular disease, ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack, hemorrhagic stroke) separately for mortality and hospital admission. We used a random-effects model to estimate the summary percent change in relative risk of the outcome per 10-μg/m(3) increase in PM.CONCLUSIONS: We found that PM2.5 and PM10 are associated with a 1.4% (95% CI 0.9% to 1.9%) and 0.5% (95% CI 0.3% to 0.7%) higher total cerebrovascular disease mortality, respectively, with evidence of inconsistent, nonsignificant associations for hospital admission for total cerebrovascular disease or ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke. Current limited evidence does not suggest an association between PM2.5-10 and cerebrovascular mortality or morbidity. We discuss the potential sources of variability in results across studies, highlight some observations, and identify gaps in literature and make recommendations for future studies.
机译:背景:中风是导致美国死亡和长期残疾的主要原因。在周围的颗粒物空气污染(PM)与心血管疾病的发病率和死亡率之间存在有据可查的关联。考虑到这些作用的病理生理机制,短期内PM升高也可能增加缺血性和/或出血性中风的发病率和死亡率,但证据尚未得到系统的审查。方法和结果:我们对所有人体观察性研究(1966年1月至2014年1月),研究环境PM水平的短期变化与脑血管事件之间的关系。我们还进行了荟萃分析,以评估每个PM大小分数(PM2.5,PM10,PM2.5-10)与每个结局(总脑血管疾病,缺血性中风/短暂性缺血性发作,出血性中风)之间相关性的证据。用于死亡率和住院。我们使用随机效应模型来估算PM每增加10μg/ m(3),结局相对风险的总体变化百分比。结论:我们发现PM2.5和PM10与1.4%(95 %CI分别增加0.9%至1.9%)和0.5%(95%CI 0.3%至0.7%),总证据表明总的脑血管疾病或局部缺血性或出血性中风与住院的相关性不一致,无关紧要。目前有限的证据表明,PM2.5-10与脑血管死亡率或发病率之间无关联。我们讨论了各研究结果差异的潜在来源,重点介绍了一些观察结果,找出了文献中的空白并为以后的研究提供了建议。

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