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Application of the Weighted K-Nearest Neighbor Algorithm for Short-Term Load Forecasting

机译:加权K最近邻域算法在短期负荷预测中的应用

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摘要

In this paper, the historical power load data from the National Electricity Market (Australia) is used to analyze the characteristics and regulations of electricity (the average value of every eight hours). Then, considering the inverse of Euclidean distance as the weight, this paper proposes a novel short-term load forecasting model based on the weighted k-nearest neighbor algorithm to receive higher satisfied accuracy. In addition, the forecasting errors are compared with the back-propagation neural network model and the autoregressive moving average model. The comparison results demonstrate that the proposed forecasting model could reflect variation trend and has good fitting ability in short-term load forecasting.
机译:在本文中,国家电力市场(澳大利亚)的历史力量负荷数据用于分析电力的特点和规定(每8小时的平均值)。然后,考虑到欧几里德距离的倒数作为重量的逆,本文提出了一种基于加权k最近邻算法的新型短期负荷预测模型,以获得更高的满意精度。此外,与背部传播神经网络模型和自回归移动平均模型进行比较预测误差。比较结果表明,拟议的预测模型可以反映变化趋势,并且在短期负荷预测中具有良好的拟合能力。

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