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Asymmetry in transport fuel demand: Evidence from household level data

机译:运输燃料需求的不对称性:来自家庭级别数据的证据

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摘要

Models for gasoline demand for transportation activities generally assume that demand is perfectly reversible with respect to gasoline price (and income). The small literature which relaxes the reversibility assumption in gasoline demand argues technological fixation leads to this asymmetry and utilizes aggregate time-series model to find evidence in favour of asymmetry. In this research it is suggested that there could also be behavioural factors behind this asymmetric response, possibly due to the loss aversion nature of human beings as described in the prospect theory. For the first time, household level data was used to understand asymmetry in gasoline demand in response to changes in gasoline price and income. There was statistical evidence that gasoline price and income both can induce asymmetric changes in gasoline demand among households. Specifically, elasticity with respect to rising prices and falling income is larger than the elasticity with respect to falling prices and rising income respectively, which is consistent with loss aversion in gasoline purchase behaviour. There was also some evidence of heterogeneity in the asymmetric responses between urban and rural households. The results have implications for transport-related energy tax policies or subsidies, while the method can be applied directly for non-energy goods as well.
机译:汽油需求运输活动的模型通常认为,对于汽油价格(和收入),需求是完全可逆的。放松汽油需求中可逆性假设的小文献认为技术固定导致该不对称性并利用聚集时间序列模型来寻找有利于不对称的证据。在这项研究中,建议在这种不对称的反应背后也可能是由于前景理论中所述的人类的损失厌恶性质。首次,家庭级别数据用于了解汽油需求的不对称,以应对汽油价格和收入的变化。有统计证据表明汽油价格和收入都可以诱导家庭中汽油需求的不对称变化。具体而言,相对于价格上涨和下降的收入的弹性分别大于价格下跌和收入下降的弹性,这与汽油采购行为中的损失厌恶一致。城市和农村家庭之间的不对称反应也有一些证据。结果对运输有关的能源税收或补贴有影响,而该方法也可以直接用于非能源商品。

著录项

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    Zia Wadud;

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  • 年度 2017
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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