Regional Economic and Energy Consumption Implications of the NEP-2 Base Case Scenarios

摘要

An attempt is made to measure the impact of changes in the national economy on regions of the United States, translated onto a grid of 173 regions, into national employment and energy consumption impacts that result from different prices for imported crude oil. These projections extend to the year 1995. Once calculated, regional economic and energy conditions are examined tabularly and graphically to highlight above and below average inter-temporal change and world oil price-related change. Regions are also classified by initial socioeconomic characteristics to determine if particular types of regions receive systematically different impacts. Although much evidence of systematic change is present at the regional level, the relatively small changes occurring in the national economy do not lead to large regional impacts. This analysis found no disruptive or highly significant regional impacts occurring from the price change assumptions of the scenarios. (ERA citation 06:022121)