How the Arabellion Affects the Strength of Egypt as a Nation State.

摘要

Nearly four years after the beginning of the Arabellion of 2011, the upheaval that compelled President Mubarak to resign, Egypt faces another at least semi-democratic government led by the former Commander in Chief General Abdel Fattah El Sisi. However, the current situation is not just a reset. Circumstances and power structure changed several times. Although the new government is now in a favorable position, a simple restoration is out of the question. The Arabellion initiated the first steps to a civil society. The population, and in particular the youth, gained experience in political participation. The experiment might have failed, but the experience of change has left the power holders with a new pressure to legitimize. Despite almost absolute power, the government is aware that its initiative to offer a pragmatic rebalancing of power to the relevant protagonists is key to solving the unchanged social, political, and economic issues. Contemporaries consider the Arabellion a failure, but the new constitution facilitates a guided change. Egypt is at a crossroad once again. Both futures are possible, either a system of unsustainable short-term concentration of power, or a pragmatic, sustainable, and beneficial power sharing between the relevant protagonists. Nevertheless, the lethargy of the Mubarak era is gone.