Selecting Analytic Approaches for Decision Situations (Revised Edition). Volume II. Case Studies.

摘要

The three volumes of this report present a conceptual framework within which experienced decision analysts can derive generalizations that match analytic techniques to decision situations and communicate those generalizations to decision makers and inexperienced analysts. This volume contains 5 case applications involving: (1) The problem of what foreign policy the U.S. should adopt in order to obtain more oil from a particular mideastern country; (2) A decision faced by the president of an electrical equipment company of whether to purchase the defense market rights to a flight safety patent; () A project undertaken by the Naval Electronics Systems Command to apply the 'Design-to-Cost' concept to an evaluation of proposed electronic warfare systems; (4) A Research and development project aimed at developing tactical decision aids for Navy task force commanders; and (5) A study aimed at predicting NATO's response to actions taken by the Warsaw Pact countries.