Two Penetration Models Featuring Bomber Defense Missiles against an AWACS Air Defense

摘要

Two models were developed for evaluation of bomber defense missiles as penetration aids to bombers carrying cruise missiles. The defense consisted of a forward-based AWACS controlling airborne interceptors. Both models utilize a corridor concept with a single AWACS. One of the models is a simulation using the Q-GERT computer language; penetrators and interceptors wait in 'queues' to be paired by the AWACS 'server' for interceptor attempts. The second model is a stochastic analytic approach recursively estimating a separate survival probability for each successive bomber to enter the corridor. This probability reflects delays between intercepts due to fighter attrition. Both models estimate the numbers of bombers surviving, cruise missiles launched and cruise missiles surviving. The models yielded similar results for 24 different cases. The thesis models represent the effects of fighter attrition, BDM depletion and payload tradeoffs in greater detail than do other similar models. (Author)