National Supply of Scientists, Mathematicians, and Engineers. Volume 1. Introduction, Methodology, and Findings.

摘要

The national supply of scientists, mathematicians, and engineers (SME) through the year 2020 is analyzed. After comparing the most prominent systems and taxonomies used to classify and account for SME in the United States, a base year inventory of SME, by discipline, is displayed for 1988. A methodology for projecting the supply of SME, by discipline, is then described. The supply of SME is expected to increase at an average annual rate of between .97 and 1.3 percent through 2020. This rate of growth should be adequate to meet national demand in general, and defense needs in particular. Concern is expressed that the nation may not be able to continue exploiting new technologies fully. If this concern has merit, the national supply of SME, although adequate to meet demand, may be below the level needed to maintain a technological advantage over potential adversaries. Scientist, Mathematician, Engineer, Projections, Supply, Demand, Immigration.