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Random matrix theory analysis of cross-correlations in the US stock market: Evidence from Pearson's correlation coefficient and detrended cross-correlation coefficient

机译:美国股票市场相互关系的随机矩阵理论分析:来自皮尔逊相关系数和去趋势的互相关系数的证据

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摘要

In this study, we first build two empirical cross-correlation matrices in the US stock market by two different methods, namely the Pearson's correlation coefficient and the detrended cross-correlation coefficient (DCCA coefficient). Then, combining the two matrices with the method of random matrix theory (RMT), we mainly investigate the statistical properties of cross-correlations in the US stock market. We choose the daily closing prices of 462 constituent stocks of S&P 500 index as the research objects and select the sample data from January 3, 2005 to August 31, 2012. In the empirical analysis, we examine the statistical properties of cross-correlation coefficients, the distribution of eigenvalues, the distribution of eigenvector components, and the inverse participation ratio. From the two methods, we find some new results of the cross-correlations in the US stock market in our study, which are different from the conclusions reached by previous studies. The empirical cross-correlation matrices constructed by the DCCA coefficient show several interesting properties at different time scales in the US stock market, which are useful to the risk management and optimal portfolio selection, especially to the diversity of the asset portfolio. It will be an interesting and meaningful work to find the theoretical eigenvalue distribution of a completely random matrix R for the DCCA coefficient because it does not obey the Mar?enko-Pastur distribution.
机译:在这项研究中,我们首先通过两种不同的方法(即皮尔逊相关系数和去趋势的互相关系数(DCCA系数))建立了美国股票市场的两个经验互相关矩阵。然后,将这两个矩阵与随机矩阵理论(RMT)结合起来,主要研究美国股票市场中互相关的统计特性。我们选择标准普尔500指数462只成分股的每日收盘价作为研究对象,并选择2005年1月3日至2012年8月31日的样本数据。在实证分析中,我们检验了互相关系数的统计特性,特征值的分布,特征向量分量的分布以及逆参与比。从这两种方法中,我们在研究中发现了美国股票市场互相关的一些新结果,这些结果与以前的研究得出的结论不同。由DCCA系数构建的经验互相关矩阵在美国股票市场的不同时间尺度上显示出一些有趣的属性,这些属性对于风险管理和最佳投资组合选择特别是资产组合的多样性很有用。为DCCA系数找到一个完全随机的矩阵R的理论特征值分布,将是一件有趣而有意义的工作,因为它不服从Marenko-Pastur分布。

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