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Experiment and Animal Minds: Why the Choice of the Null Hypothesis Matters

机译:实验和动物的思想:零假设的选择为何如此重要

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In guarding against inferential mistakes, experimental comparative cognition errs on the side of underattributing sophisticated cognition to animals, or what I refer to as the underattribution bias. I propose eliminating this bias by altering the method of choosing the default, or null, hypothesis. Rather than choosing the most parsimonious null hypothesis, as is current practice, I argue for choosing the best-evidenced hypothesis. Doing so at once preserves the risk-controlling structure of the current statistical paradigm and introduces a sensitivity to probability-conferring empirical and theoretical information. This analysis illustrates how values like parsimony can covertly shape statistical-experimental design and inference.
机译:在预防推理错误时,实验性比较认知错误地归因于对动物的复杂认知不足,或者我称之为归因不足的偏见。我建议通过更改选择默认假设或无效假设的方法来消除这种偏见。我主张选择最佳证据,而不是像目前的实践那样选择最简约的零假设。这样做立即保留了当前统计范式的风险控制结构,并对引入概率的经验和理论信息引入了敏感性。该分析说明了诸如简约之类的值如何可以隐蔽地塑造统计实验设计和推理。

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