A novel methodology to predict urban traffic congestion with ensemble learning

摘要

Urban traffic congestion prediction is a very hot topic due to the environmental and economical impacts that currently implies. In this sense, to be able to predict bottlenecks and to provide alternatives to the circulation of vehicles becomes an essential task for traffic management. A novel methodology, based on ensembles of machine learning algorithms, is proposed to predict traffic congestion in this paper. In particular, a set of seven algorithms of machine learning has been selected to prove their effectiveness in the traffic congestion prediction. Since all the seven algorithms are able to address supervised classification, the methodology has been developed to be used as a binary classification problem. Thus, collected data from sensors located at the Spanish city of Seville are analyzed and models reaching up to 83 % are generated.