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Black bear (Ursus americanus) survival and demography in the Bow Valley of Banff National Park, Alberta

机译:黑熊(美洲熊)生存和人口统计学的艾伯塔省班夫国家公园弓谷

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摘要

We studied survival and demography of black bears, Ursus americanus, in Banff National Park (BNP) from 1994 to 2000 to test the efficacy of National Park protection. We monitored 25 radiocollared bears an average of 1.9 years each for a total of 51.8 bear-years. Eighty-two percent of all mortality (n = 11) was human-caused, composed of highway mortality (36%), management mortality (27%) and management relocation (18%). Survival was influenced by season and management status. Once bears became a management problem, survival (0.66) was lower than several hunted populations. Adult (0.84) survival was comparable to other unprotected or partly protected populations. Cub (0.64) and yearling (0.67) survival, and reproductive rate (m(x) = 0.47 female cubs/inter-birth interval), was slightly lower than other populations in western North America. We combined survival and reproductive rates in a preliminary post-birth pulse age-class Leslie matrix model and estimated population growth rate as 0.95 (95% simulated C.I. 0.79-1.10). Sensitivity analyses showed X was most sensitive to changes in adult female survival. Responsible management agencies should reduce adult female highway mortality and the likelihood of becoming a management problem, while continuing monitoring to refine demographic analyses to adequately protect this population.
机译:我们从1994年至2000年在班夫国家公园(BNP)研究了黑熊美洲熊(Ursus americanus)的生存和人口统计学,以测试国家公园保护的有效性。我们监测了25只放射性领熊,平均每只熊1.9年,共监视了51.8个熊年。在所有死亡率中,有82%(n = 11)是人为造成的,包括高速公路死亡率(36%),管理死亡率(27%)和管理人员迁移(18%)。生存受到季节和管理状态的影响。一旦熊成为管理问题,生存率(0.66)就会低于几个被猎杀的种群。成人(0.84)的存活率可与其他未受保护或部分受保护的人群相比。幼仔(0.64)和一岁仔(0.67)的存活率和生殖率(m(x)= 0.47母崽/出生间隔),比北美西部的其他人群略低。我们在初步的出生后脉搏年龄年龄的Leslie矩阵模型中结合了生存率和生殖率,估计人口增长率为0.95(95%的模拟C.I. 0.79-1.10)。敏感性分析表明,X对成年女性存活率的变化最敏感。负责任的管理机构应降低成年女性公路死亡率和成为管理问题的可能性,同时继续进行监测以完善人口统计分析以充分保护这一人口。

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