Discretization and simulation of the Zakai equation

摘要

This paper is concerned with numerical approximations for the stochastic partial differential Zakai equation of nonlinear filtering problems. The approximation scheme is based on the representation of the solutions as weighted conditional distributions. We first accurately analyze the error caused by an Euler-type scheme of time discretization. Sharp error bounds are calculated: we show that the rate of convergence is in general of order root delta (delta is the time step), but in the case when there is no correlation between the signal and the observation for the Zakai equation, the order of convergence becomes d. This result is obtained by carefully employing techniques of Malliavin calculus. In a second step, we propose a simulation of the time discretization Euler scheme by a quantization approach. Formally, this consists in an approximation of the weighted conditional distribution by a conditional discrete distribution on finite supports. We provide error bounds and rate of convergence in terms of the number N of the grids of this support. These errors are minimal at some optimal grids which are computed by a recursive method based on Monte Carlo simulations. Finally, we illustrate our results with some numerical experiments arising from a correlated Kalman-Bucy filter.