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Intercomparison of wind and wave data from the ECMWF Reanalysis Interim and the NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis

机译:ECMWF再分析中期和NCEP气候预测系统再分析中风浪数据的比对

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The recent release of the ECMWF Reanalysis Interim (ERA-I) and NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) allows for studies of global climate and its cycles with unprecedented detail. While the developers have performed verification and validation, there is little information on their relative performance in particular related to their use in ocean modeling. This study focuses on the intercomparison of wind speeds and wave heights from ERA-I and CFSR utilizing the same set of altimetry and buoy observations and error metrics to assess their consistency in time and space. Both products have good spatial homogeneity with consistent levels of errors in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. ERA-I proves to be homogenous through time, while CFSR exhibits an abrupt decrease in the level of errors in the Southern Ocean beginning 1994. ERA-I generally underestimates the wind speed and wave height with lower standard deviations in comparison to observations, but maintains slightly better error metrics. Despite having a small positive bias, CFSR provides a better description of the variability of the observations and improved performance in the upper percentiles associated with extreme events. Overall ERA-I has better homogeneity through time deeming it more reliable for modeling of long-term processes; however caution must be applied with analysis of the upper percentiles.
机译:ECMWF重新分析中期(ERA-I)和NCEP气候预测系统重新分析(CFSR)的最新版本允许对全球气候及其周期进行前所未有的详细研究。尽管开发人员已经执行了验证和确认,但有关其相对性能的信息很少,尤其是与它们在海洋建模中的使用有关的信息。这项研究着眼于ERA-I和CFSR的风速和波高之间的比较,利用同一组测高和浮标观测值和误差度量来评估它们在时间和空间上的一致性。两种产品在北半球和南半球都具有良好的空间同质性和一致的误差水平。事实证明,ERA-I在时间上是同质的,而CFSR在1994年开始在南大洋中的误差水平急剧下降。与观测值相比,ERA-I通常低估了风速和海浪高度,但标准偏差较小,但仍保持不变错误指标略好。尽管具有较小的正偏差,但CFSR更好地描述了观测结果的变异性,并提高了与极端事件相关的上百分位数的性能。总的来说,ERA-I具有更好的同质性,因为它可以长期可靠地用于长期过程建模;但是,在分析上百分位数时必须谨慎。

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